Key facts
- SRC and audit reporting repeatedly reference a 35% wage-bill-to-revenue benchmark for county governments.
- Auditor-General reporting has shown that only a limited number of county executives and assemblies have remained within the threshold.
- SRC conference resolutions have set a long-term target of achieving the 35% ratio by 2028.
- The payroll problem is widely linked to reduced development spending, pending bills and weaker service delivery.
- Official reports and People Daily coverage point to payroll irregularities, including suspected ghost workers and overcommitment in some counties.
Payroll pressure returns to the centre of county finance debate
Kenya’s county governments are once again under scrutiny over how much of their revenue is going to salaries and allowances. The latest reporting around the Salaries and Remuneration Commission’s wage-bill monitoring reinforces a long-running concern in public finance: many counties are still spending well above the recommended limit for compensation of employees, even after years of warnings, audits and reform plans. The issue matters because every extra shilling spent on payroll is a shilling that cannot be directed to roads, water systems, medicines, market stalls or other development priorities.
The headline claim that 41 counties exceed the 35% wage-bill threshold fits a broader pattern already documented by Kenya’s oversight institutions. SRC guidance has repeatedly said the wage-bill-to-revenue ratio for county governments should not exceed 35%, while Auditor-General reporting has shown that only a small number of county executives and assemblies have consistently remained within that ceiling. In practical terms, the problem is not a one-off anomaly but a structural feature of county budgeting, especially in environments where recurrent costs have grown faster than ordinary revenue.
What the 35% threshold means in practice
The 35% benchmark is not merely an accounting preference; it is a fiscal sustainability target embedded in Kenya’s public finance framework and repeatedly referenced by SRC and audit reports. SRC has said the ratio is intended to keep compensation spending at a level that does not crowd out service delivery, while its conference resolutions have pushed public institutions toward achieving the target over time. Recent SRC material also notes that county wage bills, on average, have remained above the threshold, even when national government wage pressures have been closer to the benchmark.
That matters because counties depend heavily on transfers from the national government and have limited room to raise own-source revenue. When personnel costs rise faster than collections, county leaders often respond by delaying development projects, accumulating pending bills or cutting back on maintenance. Over time, that can produce a political trap: governments become larger employers, but the public sees fewer improvements in services. The result is not only fiscal stress but also public frustration with the value of devolution itself.
Audits have repeatedly pointed to the same weaknesses
The Office of the Auditor-General has consistently highlighted wage-bill overruns, budget overcommitment and irregular recruitment practices across counties. In its county government audit work, the office has reported that only a handful of county executives and assemblies were within the 35% threshold, with the rest exceeding it. The same audit material shows that many counties are carrying wage commitments that leave little flexibility for lawful and planned spending. That combination is dangerous because it can turn the payroll into a fixed burden that crowds out nearly everything else.
Earlier audit reporting has also linked county payroll growth to hiring outside approved plans or without matching budget support. People Daily’s coverage of audit findings this year pointed to hundreds of suspected ghost workers in multiple counties and described how payroll fraud and corruption can intensify the strain on devolved finances. While each county’s circumstances differ, the common thread is an administrative system that often adds staff faster than it improves controls, data quality and productivity management.
Why counties keep slipping back into excess
There are several reasons the wage-bill problem keeps resurfacing. First, counties operate under intense political pressure to create jobs, reward supporters and respond to local demands for employment. Second, some county departments have expanded even where the underlying workload has not grown at the same pace. Third, weak payroll controls make it easier for duplicate records, irregular hires or delayed separations to remain on the books. Those factors can combine to lift the wage bill even when revenue growth is flat.
There is also a more basic governance challenge: counties often find it politically easier to fund salaries than to enforce hard reforms. Cutting payroll can trigger labour disputes, public criticism and accusations of under-service. Yet keeping the payroll swollen can be even more damaging, because development budgets shrink quietly while visible employee costs keep rising. This is why the wage-bill debate has become so central to devolution: it is not simply about accountants policing numbers, but about whether counties can convert revenue into public value.
The development cost of an oversized payroll
When recurrent spending dominates a county budget, development plans tend to suffer first. New projects may be delayed, unfinished works may stall and maintenance budgets may be squeezed to meet monthly salary obligations. Citizens may then experience county government mainly through payroll-related spending rather than through better roads, functioning health facilities or reliable water services. In that sense, an excessive wage bill is not an abstract fiscal ratio; it directly shapes the quality of everyday life.
The problem also affects borrowing and cash-flow management. Counties that spend too much on payroll can end up with pending bills and pressure on suppliers, which weakens local businesses and discourages contractors from taking on public work. That can create a feedback loop in which weak county finances reduce private-sector confidence, which in turn limits local economic activity and future revenue growth. For devolution to work as intended, counties need fiscal room to invest, not just enough money to keep payrolls running.
Reform efforts are real, but results remain uneven
SRC and other institutions have not been idle. The commission has continued to publish wage-bill bulletins, engage counties through monitoring visits and push a whole-of-government approach aimed at bringing the ratio down over time. The Third National Wage Bill Conference also set a long-range target of reaching the 35% benchmark by 2028, showing that policymakers still see the issue as solvable through sustained discipline, not just emergency cuts. But the gap between targets and reality remains wide.
The challenge is that reform depends on more than issuing directives. Counties need cleaner payroll data, stronger recruitment controls, realistic staffing plans and better alignment between staffing levels and service needs. They also need political backing to resist unfunded hiring and patronage-driven expansion. Without that, each round of warnings risks becoming another entry in a long paper trail that documents the same problem without changing it.
What to watch next
The immediate question is whether the latest round of reporting will trigger sharper enforcement, especially from oversight bodies that already have evidence of chronic overspending. If the figure of 41 counties above the threshold holds, it would mean most county governments are still outside the sustainable range and that the reform message has not yet translated into day-to-day budgeting behaviour. The deeper question is whether counties can be pushed toward productivity-based staffing, where payroll growth is tied to measurable service delivery rather than political convenience.
For Kenya’s readers, the issue extends beyond devolution politics. It goes to the heart of how public money is used and whether the state can balance wages with investment. As SRC and the Auditor-General have repeatedly argued, the country cannot build durable county services if salaries continue to consume too large a share of available revenue. The numbers may change from one audit cycle to the next, but the underlying warning remains the same: a payroll that grows faster than revenue will eventually crowd out the very services counties were created to deliver.
Sources: